Weather risk for filming in Tartu
Tartu averages 15 rain days in July — a three-day exterior shoot then hits at least one with 88 % probability. In March (10 rain days) the same risk drops to 70 %. The calculator above is preset to Tartu and runs the numbers for your count of exterior days.
Weather risk calculator for Tartu
- Risk per day
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- At least one day hit
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- Expected lost days
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Rain risk in Tartu by month
Rain days are long-term monthly means — not a forecast, but the basis for the budget question: once the chance of losing a day passes ~60 %, the cover set is cheaper than the loss.
| Month | Rain days | Mean temp | Sun hours/day | Risk (3 days) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 13 | -3.6 °C | 1.4 | 82 % |
| February | 11 | -2.3 °C | 3.2 | 75 % |
| March | 10 | 0.4 °C | 6.6 | 70 % |
| April | 11 | 5.4 °C | 9.4 | 75 % |
| May | 10 | 11.6 °C | 12.7 | 70 % |
| June | 11 | 16.9 °C | 13.7 | 75 % |
| July | 15 | 17.9 °C | 12.9 | 88 % |
| August | 14 | 17.4 °C | 10.6 | 85 % |
| September | 10 | 12.9 °C | 8.3 | 70 % |
| October | 13 | 6.7 °C | 4.9 | 82 % |
| November | 12 | 2.3 °C | 1.8 | 78 % |
| December | 12 | -1.2 °C | 1.2 | 78 % |
The best month for exteriors
Combining daylight and rain days, June comes out ahead in Tartu: 18h 15min of usable light against 11 mean rain days. The driest month (March) and the brightest are not automatically the same — which is exactly why the combined view matters.
For scheduling, a weather day costs more than the day itself: location availability, crew follow-on bookings and possibly the travel home. TillyGen puts the month's rain risk right next to the sun window inside the schedule — together they decide which day can happen outside.
Frequently asked
When does it rain least in Tartu?
March, with a mean of 10 rain days. The most falls in July with 15.
How is the washout risk computed?
Rain days ÷ 30 gives the per-day hit probability; across N exterior days, 1 − (1 − p)ᴺ is the chance of at least one hit. Deliberately simple and conservative — it prices the month's structural risk rather than forecasting weather.
What is the best month to shoot in Tartu?
On light and rain combined, June. The matching sun times live on the golden-hour page for Tartu and on the city page.